Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan in this match.
