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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Manchester City logo

Chelsea
0 - 1
Man City


Alonso (77'), Christensen (78'), Rudiger (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jesus (53')
Laporte (65'), Dias (90+6')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

One of the standout matches on the Premier League calendar will take place at Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon, as early league leaders Chelsea welcome the reigning champions Manchester City.

Chelsea top the table with 13 points to show from their opening five matches, while Man City occupy fifth, having collected 10 points from their first five league games of the 2021-22 campaign.


Match preview

Chelsea's Thiago Silva celebrates scoring against Tottenham Hotspur on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Not too much can be read into the league table at this stage of the season, but there is no question that Chelsea have made an encouraging start, winning four of their five matches, drawing the other, to collect 13 points, which has left them at the top of the division heading into the next set of fixtures.

The Blues are actually on a run of four straight wins in all competitions, having overcome Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League, in addition to beating Zenit St Petersburg and Villa in the Champions League and EFL Cup respectively during an impressive run of form.

Thomas Tuchel's side have only conceded once in the league this term and have been impressive on their travels, beating Arsenal and Tottenham, in addition to drawing 1-1 at Liverpool while playing with 10 men.

Chelsea will be looking to send out a statement to the rest of the division this weekend, and the Blues are being tipped by many to win a seventh English top-flight title this term and their first since 2016-17, but at this early stage of the season, four teams, including Man City, are seen as potential challengers.

The capital outfit have won each of their last three games against the Citizens, including a 1-0 victory in last season's Champions League final, although the last Premier League meeting between the two teams at Stamford Bridge ended in a 3-1 success for the visitors back in January.

Manchester City players celebrate Riyad Mahrez's goal against RB Leipzig on September 15, 2021© Reuters

Like Chelsea, Man City managed to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup during the week, recording a 6-1 victory over Wycombe Wanderers at the Etihad Stadium, but Pep Guardiola's side were held to a goalless draw by Southampton in the Premier League last weekend.

It is hardly time to hit the panic button, but the reigning champions have dropped points in two of their five league games this term, having also lost to Tottenham on the opening weekend. The gap to first spot, though, is just three points and that could evaporate on Saturday afternoon.

Man City's failure to land a centre-forward over the summer has certainly opened the team up to criticism, and they were frustrated by Southampton at the Etihad Stadium in their last league encounter.

Guardiola will be hopeful of responding in the perfect style at Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon, but the fact that the Citizens have lost their last three games against Chelsea could be a factor, especially as the home side look to be full of confidence under brilliant tactician Tuchel.

It is a huge period of the season for Man City, as they will take on Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League next week before travelling to Liverpool in the league next weekend, and it will be fascinating to see the state of affairs at the Etihad Stadium heading into the October international break.

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester City Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Ilkay Gundogan goes off injured for Manchester City against Tottenham Hotspur on August 15, 2021© Reuters

Chelsea goalkeeper Edouard Mendy has missed his team's last two matches due to a knock, but Tuchel is hopeful that the club's number one will be able to recover in time for Saturday's contest.

Christian Pulisic remains out with an ankle problem, while Mason Mount will miss the contest with a knock that he picked up against Villa in the EFL Cup.

N'Golo Kante could replace Mateo Kovacic in the middle of the park, while Mendy is in line to return in goal, while Mount's absence could open the door for Timo Werner to feature alongside Kai Havertz and Romelu Lukaku in the final third of the field.

As for Man City, Guardiola has a number of selection problems, with Rodri, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Ilkay Gundogan all facing battles to be available for the contest.

John Stones and Aymeric Laporte are both out, meanwhile, meaning that Nathan Ake will again line up in the middle of the defence alongside Ruben Dias.

Gundogan appears to have the best chance of the doubtful players to be available, so the Germany international could feature alongside Fernandinho and Kevin De Bruyne in a midfield three.

Gabriel Jesus, meanwhile, might get the nod over Riyad Mahrez alongside Jack Grealish and Ferran Torres in attack, but fit-again Phil Foden is also now an option for the reigning champions.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Christensen, T Silva, Rudiger; Azpilicueta, Kante, Jorginho, Alonso; Havertz, Lukaku, Werner

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake, Cancelo; De Bruyne, Fernandinho, Gundogan; Jesus, Torres, Grealish


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 1-1 Manchester City

It is still very early in the season, but there is simply no downplaying the importance of this match. Both managers will be desperate to put down a marker, but it is likely to be a tight and cagey affair at Stamford Bridge, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which both teams would probably take.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Man City

Chelsea
54.8%
Draw
25.0%
Manchester City
20.2%
756
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Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne pictured on September 15, 2021
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1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
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8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
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17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
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