Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.