Though their preparation has been far from ideal, many of Dynamo's key figures were together with Ukraine over the summer, and the unifying force of conflict at home should see them put in a relentless performance on Wednesday. The reputation of Jorge Jesus is formidable for a reason, though, and Fener are likely to strike back at some stage; taking their opponents back to Istanbul within reach of a second-leg comeback. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Fenerbahce
30.25% ( 0.12)	24.93% ( 0)	44.82% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.04% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.95% (

0.04)

47.05% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.71% (

0.04)

69.29% (

-0.03)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

0.1)

29.04% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05% (

0.12)

64.95% (

-0.12)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.04)

21.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

-0.06)

53.83% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Kiev 30.25%

Fenerbahce 44.82%

Draw 24.93%

Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.25%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.82%