Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Arrows win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Big Bullets had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Arrows win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Big Bullets win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Arrows would win this match.