CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Mbabane Swallows1 - 0Ferroviario Beira
Madja (46')
Mathabela (77')
Mathabela (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Danito (3')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Ferroviario Beira.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mbabane Swallows win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Ferroviario Beira had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mbabane Swallows win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ferroviario Beira win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mbabane Swallows in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mbabane Swallows | Draw | Ferroviario Beira |
37.63% ( 0.01) | 28% ( -0) | 34.37% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
