Vasco

0 - 1

Cruzeiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.