Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
