Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.