MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:09:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Internacional (Brasil)

Bahia
1 - 0
Internacional

Teixeira (44')
Rezende (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vitao (52')
Lucca (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 4-6 Bahia
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Internacional

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-1 Internacional

 Although derby delight will have boosted confidence in the camp, 10 days on, an Internacional side hit by absences and rarely at their best away from home will surely stumble again. Bahia do not boast the best record at Arena Fonte Nova but have some in-form forwards that could cause Inter trouble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawInternacional
49.84% (0.499 0.5) 25.75% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.41% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.12% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.061 0.06)75.54% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.24799999999999 0.25)21.74% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.379 0.38)54.92% (-0.383 -0.38)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.316 -0.32)37.36% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.313 -0.31)74.15% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 49.83%
    Internacional 24.41%
    Draw 25.75%
BahiaDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.092999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.080000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Bahia vs Internacional

Bahia
50.0%
Draw
31.3%
Internacional
18.8%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Internacional
2-0
Bahia
Cardoso (49'), Wanderson (90+9')
Campanharo (90+7')

Stum (63'), Carlos (68')
Sep 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Internacional
2-0
Bahia
Alberto (39'), Dourado (74')
Heitor (27'), Cuesta (90')

Mugni (19'), Gilberto (37')
Jun 14, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Bahia
0-1
Internacional
Teixeira (30'), Guedes Borges (40'), Eduardo Cavalcanti (45+1')
Heitor (43'), Alberto (48'), Taison (70'), Borges da Silva (80')
Ribeiro (53')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 27
Bahia
1-2
Internacional
Pablo Ramirez (69')
Juninho (25'), Gregore (44'), Gilberto (78')
Dourado (45+1'), Galhardo (48' pen.)
Galhardo (84')
Sep 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Internacional
2-2
Bahia
Patrick (28'), Galhardo (68' pen.)
Gabriel (69'), Rodinei (82')
Rodrigoinho (20'), Clayson (90+7' pen.)
Paraiba (10'), Ronaldo (58'), Gregore (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!