Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 19, 2023 at 12am UK

Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes

America Mineiro
1 - 2
Botafogo

Benitez (39')
Egea (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Santos (22', 50')
Santos (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: America Mineiro 0-2 Botafogo

Botafogo will have felt a significant weight being removed from their shoulders when ending their winless run away to Fluminense last time out, and they will be confident of picking up enough points between now and the end of the season to be crowned champions. America Mineiro, on the other hand, appear destined for relegation after enduring a disastrous season so far, and we can only envisage their winless streak extending against the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
36.89% ( 0.44)	28.42% ( 0.21)	34.69% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 46.5% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.17% (

-0.81)

59.83% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.89% (

-0.62)

80.11% (

0.62)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-0.13)

31.1% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

-0.15)

67.42% (

0.15)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.84)

32.51% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.96)

69.04% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 36.89%

Botafogo 34.68%

Draw 28.41%

America Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.89%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.68%