MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:03:05| >> :120:12621:12621:
[monks data]
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 2, 2020 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Lazio logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Lazio

Guerreiro (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Immobile (67' pen.)

Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Borussia Dortmund host Lazio in the Champions League on Wednesday, with the German side assured of qualification to the knockout stages for a third successive season should they avoid defeat.

Lazio, meanwhile, require a win to be certain of competing in the knockout stages for the first time since the 1999-00 campaign, but should Zenit St Petersburg beat Club Brugge in the other match in Group F, both Dortmund and the Italians will progress regardless of their result against each other.


Match preview

Borussia Dortmund's Jadon Sancho celebrates scoring against Club Brugge in the Champions League on November 24, 2020© Reuters

Dortmund were hugely impressive in their second successive 3-0 victory over Brugge last week.

Erling Braut Haaland scored a brace to make it six goals for the Norwegian striker in only four days, with England international Jadon Sancho's sensational free kick adding gloss to the convincing win, moving them five points clear of their opponents in third place with only two matches remaining.

Having lost 2-1 at home to FC Koln in the Bundesliga at the weekend, Lucien Favre may be tempted into resting players against Lazio in order to focus on Saturday's trip to Eintracht Frankfurt.

However, it may be a case of wrapping up qualification and top spot in the group by beating their forthcoming opponents before that comes into the 63-year-old's thinking, especially having lost 3-1 to the Italians in the reverse fixture.

Lazio head coach Simone Inzaghi pictured on November 4, 2020© Reuters

Lazio were equally impressive in another 3-1 victory, with Ciro Immobile and Marco Parolo giving the Italians a commanding lead during the first half of last week's fixture against Zenit.

However, veteran striker Artem Dyzuba struck back to give the Russians hope, before Immobile sealed his side's victory with a brace, taking Lazio four points clear of Brugge in Group F with only two matches remaining.

Given they are competing in the group stages for the first time since the 2007-08 season, progressing to the knockout stages would be a tremendous achievement for Simone Inzaghi and his side, even if the Rome-based club were arguably handed a favourable group.

However, the former Italy international will not allow his players to get ahead of themselves, especially with a final matchday showdown with Brugge still to come. A first defeat in this season's competition at Dortmund on Wednesday would turn that last fixture into a decider for both teams if the Belgians avoid defeat to Zenit.

Borussia Dortmund Champions League form: LWWW
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WWLWWL

Lazio Champions League form: WDDW
Lazio form (all competitions): WDDWWL


Team News

Lazio centre-back Luiz Felipe pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Favre has plenty of options to choose from against Lazio, with only Reinier (coronavirus) and Marcel Schmelzer (knee) ruled out of action for his side.

The Dortmund boss may be tempted to rest Haaland, with the 20-year-old requiring protection from physical overload, but will likely look to get the job done on Wednesday before making a string of changes against Zenit next week should his side manage to do so.

Inzaghi, meanwhile, is also missing two players in the shape of Luiz Felipe (ankle) and Vedat Muriqi (unknown).

Former Liverpool midfielder Lucas Leiva was rested in Saturday's dismal 3-1 defeat at home to Udinese, with the Brazilian likely to come back into the starting XI in order to protect the back three and fellow former Liverpool player Pepe Reina.

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Burki; Meunier, Akanji, Hummels, Guerreiro; Witsel, Dahoud; Sancho, Reus, Hazard; Haaland

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Reina; Patric, Hoedt, Acerbi; Lazzari, Parolo, Lucas, Alberto, Marusic; Immobile, Correa


SM words green background

We say: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Lazio

We can envisage both sides posing each other problems in offensive areas, but ultimately Dortmund possess the more dangerous attackers and the more reliable defence.

Favre's side should have enough about them to get the job done and qualify as winners of the group, leaving Lazio looking over their shoulders at matters in Brugge.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:424513:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7850:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Borussia Dortmund vs Lazio

Borussia Dortmund
73.8%
Draw
16.1%
Lazio
10.1%
535
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Bruno Fernandes celebrates scoring for Manchester United against Istanbul Basaksehir in the Champions League on November 24, 2020
Read Next:
UCL Team of the Week - Sancho, Fernandes, Foden
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

League Phase

TeamPWDLPTS
1Aston Villa33009
2Liverpool33009
3Man City32107
4Monaco32107
5B. Leverkusen32107
6Brest32107
7Inter Milan32107
8Dinamo Zagreb42117
9Sporting Lisbon32107
10Arsenal32107
11Real Madrid32016
12Lille32016
13Feyenoord32016
14Barcelona32016
15Dortmund32016
16Benfica32016
17Juventus32016
18Atalanta31205
19PSV41215
20Stuttgart31114
21Sparta Prague31114
22PSG31114
23Celtic31114
24AC Milan31023
25Bayern31023
26Girona41033
27Brugge31023
28Atletico31023
29Bologna30121
30Shakhtar30121
31RB Leipzig30030
32Sturm Graz30030
33Salzburg30030
34Red Star30030
35Young Boys30030
36Slovan Bratislava40040


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!