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[monks data]
Denmark national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 5, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Parken
Belgium national football team

Denmark
0 - 2
Belgium


Hojbjerg (3'), Skov (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Denayer (9'), Mertens (77')
Tielemans (20')

Preview: Denmark vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Denmark and Belgium, including team news and predicted lineups.

Denmark and Belgium will kick off their respective 2020-21 UEFA Nations League campaigns with a clash in Group 2 of League A on Saturday night.

Iceland and England also make up what is a very interesting group, and both Denmark and Belgium will be keen to get their tournaments off to a strong start this weekend.


Match preview

Kasper Dolberg in action for Denmark on September 8, 2019© Reuters

Denmark won two and drew two of their four group matches against Wales and the Republic of Ireland in the 2018-19 UEFA Nations League to ensure that they would be promoted to League A.

The Red and Whites will face a much higher level of opposition this time around, and it remains to be seen how they perform in a group that also includes England and Iceland.

Kasper Hjulmand's side will be present at next summer's European Championships, having claimed second position in Group D behind Switzerland, remaining unbeaten in their eight matches.

Denmark are actually unbeaten in their last 15 matches in all competitions, meanwhile, but they have lost six of their previous 13 international encounters with Belgium.

Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates scoring their fourth goal with Youri Tielemans and team mates on September 9, 2019© Reuters

Belgium were incredibly unfortunate to miss out on a spot in the semi-finals of the 2018-19 UEFA Nations League as they actually won three of their four group matches against Switzerland and Iceland.

A 5-2 loss to Switzerland in their final group game meant that they did not advance, though, and the European nation might feel that they have some unfinished business in this competition.

Roberto Martinez's side, who will take on Iceland in their next game on September 8, breezed through their Euro 2020 qualification group, winning all 10 matches to collect 30 points.

The Red Devils have actually won every match since losing to Switzerland back in November 2018, and there is no question that they are now one of the most talented international teams on the planet.

Denmark Nations League form: WDWD
Denmark form (all competitions): WDWWWD

Belgium Nations League form: WWWL
Belgium form (all competitions): WWWWWW


Team News

Eden Hazard in action for Belgium on June 8, 2019© Reuters

Denmark are expected to send a strong starting XI onto the field, with Inter Milan's Christian Eriksen set to win his 96th cap, while Simon Kjaer should again captain the side from central defence.

Leicester City's Kasper Schmeichel will start between the sticks, while new Tottenham Hotspur midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg should get the nod in the middle of the park.

Brentford's Christian Norgaard could make his first appearance for the national side, although the 26-year-old is unlikely to start, with Yussuf Poulsen, Martin Braithwaite and Andreas Cornelius in line to feature in attack.

As for Belgium, Martinez has selected an incredibly strong squad for their next two matches, and it would not be a surprise to see a full-strength first XI for this contest.

Romelu Lukaku, Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne could feature as the front three, with Axel Witsel and Youri Tielemans likely to be given the task of holding the middle of the park.

Yannick Carrasco could get the nod as one of the wide midfielders in a 3-4-3 formation, while Jan Vertonghen could join now ex-Tottenham Hotspur teammate Toby Alderweireld in a defensive position.

Denmark possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Dalsgaard, Kjaer, Jorgensen, Larsen; Delaney, Hojbjerg; Poulsen, Eriksen, Braithwaite; Cornelius

Belgium possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Denayer; Meunier, Tielemans, Witsel, Carrasco; E Hazard, Lukaku, De Bruyne


SM words green background

We say: Denmark 1-3 Belgium

Denmark's long unbeaten run must be respected, but Belgium have won their last 10 matches in all competitions, and we are finding it difficult to back against the visitors on Saturday night. A win for Martinez's side in Copenhagen would lead them nicely into the Iceland game next week.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Belgium win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS

League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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