Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Waasland-Beveren win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.