Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eupen would win this match.