Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.