Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Aug 7, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Platense

Romero (12', 43')
Sandez (53'), Advincula (59'), Villa (85'), Medina (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Morgantini (55')
Pablo Pignani (20'), Suso (68'), Gonzalez (83'), Villalba (83'), Ledesma (83')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Platense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Patronato 3-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, July 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Platense
66.07% ( 0.21)	20.83% ( -0.13)	13.1% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 43.92% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5% (

0.35)

50.5% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

0.31)

72.43% (

-0.3)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

0.18)

14.47% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

0.34)

42.44% (

-0.34)

Platense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.35% (

0.09)

48.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.29% (

0.07)

83.7% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 66.06%

Platense 13.1%

Draw 20.83%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Platense
1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 66.06%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 13.1%