MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:11:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
May 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
2 - 1
Elfsborg

Bolin (40'), Kiese Thelin (57')
Botheim (21'), Pena (26'), Kiese Thelin (63'), Larsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zeneli (9')
Kaib (50'), Jebara (82'), Busanello (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Kalmar
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 3-1 Elfsborg

 Although Elfsborg have been competitive at the top of the table in recent years they have been notably weaker this campaign. While the visitors did win 3-1 in the reverse fixture it is difficult to ignore Malmo's consistently strong performances across the season as a whole, and their quality should bring them a positive result on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawElfsborg
70.22% (0.145 0.14) 17.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.066000000000003 0.07)40.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.064999999999998 0.06)62.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (0.052999999999997 0.05)10.26% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (0.122 0.12)33.63% (-0.122 -0.12)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (-0.1 -0.1)43.99% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)80.12% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 70.21%
    Elfsborg 11.96%
    Draw 17.82%
MalmoDrawElfsborg
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.21%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.82%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Malmo vs Elfsborg

Malmo
75.4%
Draw
10.8%
Elfsborg
13.8%
65
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Elfsborg
3-1
Malmo
Zeneli (34'), Hedlund (63'), Olsson (74' og.)
Abdulai (25'), Ouma (72'), Larsson (79'), Hult (90+3'), Bundgaard Sorensen (90+5')
Jorgensen (80')
Rosengren (51'), Christiansen (90+1'), Rieks (90+2'), Tinnerholm (90+5')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Malmo
1-0
Elfsborg
Kiese Thelin (57' pen.)
Rieks (21'), Busanello (28'), Jansson (43'), Berg Johnsen (51'), Pena (81')

Frick (28'), Baidoo (73')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Elfsborg
3-0
Malmo
Aron Gudjohnsen (32'), Lagerbielke (36'), Okkels (54')
Romer (73'), Ondrejka (90+5')

Larsson (59'), Cornelius (70'), Busanello (72')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Elfsborg
3-2
Malmo
Baidoo (11' pen., 73'), Romer (79')
Kiese Thelin (42', 65')
Apr 11, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 2
Malmo
1-1
Elfsborg
Birmancevic (39')
Christiansen (25'), Kiese Thelin (36'), Hadzikadunic (71')
Olsson (50')
Frick (58'), Zanden (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723
> Swedish Allsvenskan Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!