Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.