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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
Oct 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ratinan Stadion

Ilves
4 - 0
SJK

Ala-Myllymaki (14'), Riski (66', 73'), Atanga (89')
Pikkarainen (31'), Jorginho (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fati (9')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and SJK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VPS 0-2 Ilves
Friday, October 4 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: SJK 0-1 KuPS
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawSJK
44.11% (0.064 0.06) 23.69% (0.081 0.08) 32.19% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 61.35% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (-0.455 -0.45)40.5% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (-0.469 -0.47)62.88% (0.47000000000001 0.47)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)18.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.265 -0.27)49.99% (0.265 0.27)
SJK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.304 -0.3)24.57% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (-0.429 -0.43)59.06% (0.429 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 44.11%
    SJK 32.19%
    Draw 23.69%
IlvesDrawSJK
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.19%

Head to Head
Jun 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
Ilves
2-2
SJK
Jukkola (30'), Ala-Myllymaki (81')
Veteli (90+1')
Moreno (13'), Pires (78')
Paunio (80')
Apr 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 3
SJK
1-0
Ilves
Moreno (34' pen.)
Pires (29'), Moreno (77')

Veteli (33'), Pikkarainen (76'), Arifi (77')
Jul 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Ilves
1-1
SJK
Pennanen (55' pen.)
Jukkola (59'), Pennanen (75')
Mohammed (68')
Moreno (70' pen.)
Moreno (90+2')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
SJK
1-0
Ilves
Moreno (20')
Dunwoody (54'), Yegbe (64'), Gasc (76')

Jukkola (53'), N'Diaye (60'), Aspegren (87')
Jul 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
SJK
3-3
Ilves
Almen (21' og.), Kaukua (62'), Hradecky (87')
Kaukua (63')
Ngueukam (34'), Larsson (52'), Pennanen (75')
Almen (15'), Manga (60'), Leislahti (84')
Almen (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1KuPSKuPS540146242256
2IlvesIlves550056272954
3HJK Helsinki502344271745
4SJKSJK51134644240
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS52124345-239
6HakaHaka51044043-338
Relegation Round
1Inter Turku531146341241
2Gnistan52124043-337
3Oulu52123240-828
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn52032744-1726
5LahtiLahti51223147-1624
6Ekenas IFEIF51312457-3319
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213


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