Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.