Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.