Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.