MX23RW : Monday, April 21 16:31:07| >> :120:5383:5383:
[monks data]
Manchester United logo
Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Newcastle logo

Man Utd
0 - 2
Newcastle


Martinez (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Isak (4'), Joelinton (19')
Schar (80')

Man United statistically safe from Premier League relegation despite Ruben Amorim admission

Man United could be relegated, Amorim admits - what do the numbers say?
© Imago
Sports Mole looks at whether Manchester United are at a statistical risk of Premier League relegation following Ruben Amorim's stark admission.

Manchester United are not immune from relegation from the Premier League following Monday's 2-0 home loss to Newcastle United, Ruben Amorim has claimed.

The Red Devils suffered three straight home league defeats for the first time in 45 years against the Magpies, who struck through Alexander Isak and Joelinton in the first half at Old Trafford.

Eddie Howe's men dominated their pitiful foes from the off, and while Man United demonstrated improvement after Kobbie Mainoo replaced Joshua Zirkzee with just 32 minutes gone, the damage was done early on.

The Red Devils' fourth defeat on the spin in all competitions leaves them in a lowly 14th place in the Premier League table, only seven points clear of the relegation zone and nine points below recent conquerors Newcastle in the Europa League place.

Speaking to the press at full time, Amorim insisted that Man United must consider the possibility of demotion from the top tier, saying: "Our club needs a shock and we have to understand that. It is also why I speak of relegation.

"That is really clear [the possibility] and we have to fight. It is a really difficult moment, one of the more difficult moments in the history of Manchester United and we have to address it with honesty and to be clear with that, we have to fight [in] the next game."

Do the numbers suggest Man United could be relegated?

Man United head coach Ruben Amorim on December 30, 2024© Imago

At this mid-point of the season, it is easy to calculate the total amount of points Man United are on course for; with 22 after 19 matches, the law of averages suggests that they will end up with 44 points when all is said and done.

The Red Devils' current meagre total is already their worst after 19 Premier League matches; six fewer than the 28 they managed in the 2019-20 season under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, but a revival in the second half of the term saw them finish with 66 points and in third place.

A 58-point haul in the 2021-22 season currently represents Man United's worst total in the Premier League era, but if history tells us anything, the Red Devils should just about be safe from the drop if they carry on the same trajectory.

Since the 38-game season came into effect, the highest points total for a relegated team was West Ham United's 42 in the 2002-03 season; in that year, Bolton Wanderers coincidentally finished 17th with the 44 points that Man United are on track for.

The consensus is that 40 points is enough for a team to retain its top-flight status, although recent data from the Premier League suggests that 36 could suffice, and Nottingham Forest survived with as little as 32 points last season.

Brentford and Everton also stayed up without hitting the 44-point mark last season, so Man United should not suffer an unthinkable demotion to the Championship, although breaking unwanted records has been their theme this season.

ID:561766:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect5203:
Written by
Ben Knapton
No Data Analysis info

Click here for more stories about Ruben Amorim

Click here for more stories about Manchester United

Game History

How you voted: Man Utd vs Newcastle

Manchester United
Draw
Newcastle United
Manchester United
27.8%
Draw
17.9%
Newcastle United
54.4%
263
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Man United head coach Ruben Amorim on December 30, 2024
Read Next:
Disastrous December: Man United suffer worst month in 94 years
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal331812361273466
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
4Manchester CityMan City33177964422258
5Chelsea33169858401857
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
7Aston Villa3316985347657
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace331111114145-444
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!