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Gillingham
League One | Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
1 - 0
Crewe

Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Gillingham vs. Crewe Alexandra - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams in the League One relegation zone will do battle on Saturday, when Gillingham welcome Crewe Alexandra to Priestfield.

The hosts will be desperate for all three points after losing their last matches in all competitions, while a win for the visitors could lift them off the foot of the league table.


Match preview

Gillingham manager Steve Evans on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Gillingham sit in 22nd place in League One ahead of the weekend's round of fixtures, and the Gills will aim to end an 11 game winless run on Saturday.

After losing their last five league matches, the hosts are two points adrift of safety, but a win at the weekend could lift them out of the drop zone.

Last weekend, the Gills fell to another defeat as goals from Harrison Biggins and Tom Clarke helped Fleetwood Town to a 2-1 victory despite Robbie McKenzie pulling a goal back for the visitors in the 74th minute.

The problems are mounting up for Steve Evans, with his side struggling at both ends of the pitch after conceding 12 goals in their last five games, while in that period they have only found the net on two occasions.

Although they may be out of form, Gillingham will hope a meeting with the side who sit bottom of the league can bring about an end to their winless run, as they look to replicate last season's 4-1 home win over Crewe.

As for the visitors, they are still looking for their first away league win of the season having only collected three points on the road in their 11 away games.

Crewe will look to take advantage of a Gillingham side low on confidence, and a win on Saturday would see them leapfrog the Gills in the table.

The away side will also be looking to respond after a promising spell of two consecutive victories was ended last weekend, when Crewe played host to Sheffield Wednesday.

A goal apiece for Barry Bannan and Lee Gregory condemned the Railwaymen to a 2-0 defeat, leaving them four points adrift of safety in League One.

If David Artell's men are to start picking up points on the road, then they need to improve defensively after conceding 12 goals in their last five league away games.

Gillingham League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Gillingham form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Crewe Alexandra form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Full size image here

Gillingham possible starting lineup:
Lineup here

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Lineup here


SM words green background

We say: Gillingham X-Y Crewe Alexandra

Prediction justification text here



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
49.1%
Draw
21.1%
Crewe Alexandra
29.8%
57
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2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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