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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 0
Everton

Momiki (8')
Momiki (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Holmgaard (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester City Women and Everton Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester City Women 2-1 Everton Women

While both teams have experienced slow starts to the season, Leicester have managed to enjoy success in recent meetings with the Toffees, and we think that they will draw inspiration from those three consecutive head-to-head wins to claim a narrow victory in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Everton Women had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton Women win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester City WomenDrawEverton Women
49.8% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 23% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 27.2% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.54% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)40.16% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)62.53% (0.293 0.29)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)16.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (-0.14 -0.14)45.92% (0.143 0.14)
Everton Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)27.65% (0.225 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.289 -0.29)63.2% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Women 49.8%
    Everton Women 27.2%
    Draw 22.99%
Leicester City WomenDrawEverton Women
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.8%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.2%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Everton
0-1
Leicester
Cayman (53')
Green (12'), O'Brien (29')
Oct 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leicester
1-0
Everton
Petermann (69')
Green (45+1')

Graham (22'), Sorensen (23'), Vanhaevermaet (60')
Mar 12, 2023 3pm
Sep 29, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Everton
1-0
Leicester
Levell (90+4' og.)
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Everton
3-2
Leicester
Duggan (32'), Anvegard (40', 52')
George (76')
Purfield (5'), Tierney (44')
rhs 2.0
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