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Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Nov 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Liverpool

Nunes da Silva (49')
Taylor (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hinds (26', 43')
Matthews (37'), Parry (88'), Laws (90+4'), Holland (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 20 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-2 Liverpool Women

Liverpool have won five of their last seven away matches in the WSL, and after winning their previous two matches against Villa, we think that the Reds will squeeze past their opponents to record a third consecutive head-to-head victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
39.24% (-1.187 -1.19) 24.31% (0.029 0.03) 36.45% (1.158 1.16)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.81% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.56800000000001 -0.57)21.66% (0.57 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.876 -0.88)54.79% (0.877 0.88)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.626 0.63)23.08% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (0.91 0.91)56.92% (-0.908 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 39.24%
    Liverpool Women 36.45%
    Draw 24.3%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.24%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.141 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.45%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-4
Liverpool
Mayling (37' pen.)
Mayling (37')
Fisk (19'), Roman Haug (29'), Koivisto (60', 82')
Bonner (36')
Oct 8, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool
2-0
Aston Villa
Therese Hobinger (21'), Flint (77')
Daniels (45+1'), Hinds (66'), Lawley (90+4')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 21
Aston Villa
3-3
Liverpool
Hanson (7', 70'), Daly (45+1')
Staniforth (85')
Stengel (37', 62'), Dowie (40')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 7
Liverpool
0-1
Aston Villa
Daly (57' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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