Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bala Town in this match.
