Como

3 - 1

Pisa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.