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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
Parma logo

AC Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Kessie (55'), Romagnoli (59'), Calhanoglu (77')
Conti (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kurtic (44')
Grassi (33'), Darmian (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawParma
59.14%21.65%19.21%
Both teams to score 54.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82%14.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.11%41.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 59.14%
    Parma 19.21%
    Draw 21.64%
AC MilanDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.78%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.21%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 33
Parma
1-1
AC Milan
Alves (87')
Castillejo (69')
Biglia (82')
Dec 2, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
2-1
Parma
Cutrone (55'), Kessie (71' pen.)
Borini (70'), Castillejo (90')
Inglese (49')
Biabiany (61'), Iacoponi (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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