Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
