Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
