Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
