Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Belarus and Lithuania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Lithuania |
31.33% ( -9.62) | 28.57% ( -1.15) | 40.1% ( 10.76) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( 3.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
