Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
64.08% ( -0.28) | 20.86% ( -0.41) | 15.06% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( 2.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% ( 3.01) | 46.65% ( -3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 2.76) | 68.92% ( -2.75) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( 0.88) | 13.85% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.77% ( 1.71) | 41.23% ( -1.71) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% ( 2.82) | 43.36% ( -2.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% ( 2.26) | 79.6% ( -2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -1.15) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.65% Total : 64.08% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.51% Total : 15.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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