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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Dover Athletic

Farnborough
4 - 0
Dover Athletic

Folivi (36'), Maloney (43' pen.), Holmes (78'), Robinson (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Allen (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-3 Dover Athletic
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawDover Athletic
66.6% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 18.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.25% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.88% (0.013000000000005 0.01)35.12% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73%76.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 66.59%
    Dover Athletic 14.47%
    Draw 18.94%
Farnborough TownDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.36%
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 66.59%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.94%
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 14.47%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dover Athletic
1-1
Farnborough
Pavey (61' pen.)
Young (14')
rhs 2.0
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