Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
