Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
