Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
