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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
38.72% ( 2.88) | 26.14% ( -0.66) | 35.14% ( -2.22) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( 2.68) | 50.88% ( -2.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( 2.31) | 72.76% ( -2.31) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 2.92) | 25.72% ( -2.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% ( 3.81) | 60.65% ( -3.81) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( -0.04) | 27.78% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( -0.05) | 63.36% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.67) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |