Flamengo

4 - 1

Defensa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.