Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Henan Songshan Longmen in this match.