Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia3 - 1America Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | America Mineiro |
51.15% ( 1.08) | 24.51% ( -0.28) | 24.34% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
