Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Melbourne City and United City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Last Game: United City 0-3 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Team | Goals against | Avg per game | Clean Sheets | |
| 1 | Perth Glory | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
| 2 | Western Utd | 4 | 0.67 | 4 |
| 3 | Central Coast | 4 | 0.80 | 2 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1.00 | 2 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 6 | 1.20 | 2 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 6 | 1.50 | 1 |
| 10 | Victory | 7 | 1.17 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 1.60 | 1 |
| 12 | Wellington | 10 | 2.00 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for United City had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a United City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | United City |
| 56.4% | 22.75% | 20.84% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
