2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Erzgebirge Aue0 - 3Dusseldorf
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 35.72% | 25.71% | 38.56% |
| Both teams to score 55.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
