World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 9, 2024 at 3am UK
J.S. Blatter Football Complex Tuanaimato Field 1
Tonga2 - 1Samoa
Sonasi (45+1')
Paea He Lotu Feke (43'), Lea'aetoa (120+2')
Paea He Lotu Feke (43'), Lea'aetoa (120+2')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Lui Matai Salisbury (86'), Faamatau (105+3')
Junior Isaiah Malauulu (57'), Tuitele (94'), Maiava (120+7')
Junior Isaiah Malauulu (57'), Tuitele (94'), Maiava (120+7')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Second Qualifying Round clash between Tonga and Samoa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cook Islands 1-3 Tonga
Thursday, September 5 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, September 5 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: American Samoa 2-0 Samoa
Friday, September 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, September 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Tonga had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-3 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Tonga win it was 2-1 (3.95%).
| Result | ||
| Tonga | Draw | Samoa |
| 13.95% | 17% | 69.05% |
| Both teams to score 59.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
