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World Cup
Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
 
Jordan national football team

Iraq
vs.
Jordan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Jordan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 3-2 Iraq
Tuesday, October 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Oman vs. Iraq
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Jordan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 4-0 Oman
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kuwait vs. Jordan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iraq 2-2 Jordan

 Iraq have won each of their five home matches in the current qualifying cycle, but we think that run of victories will end with a draw against a Jordan side that have avoided defeat in each of their last four World Cup qualifying away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
IraqDrawJordan
47.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.56%26.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44%51.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.88%
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.81% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 47.48%
    Jordan 26.95%
    Draw 25.56%
IraqDrawJordan
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.95%

How you voted: Iraq vs Jordan

Iraq
45.7%
Draw
22.2%
Jordan
32.1%
81
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 11.30am
Round of 16
Iraq
2-3
Jordan
Natiq (68'), Hussein (76')
Hussein (45+3')
Hussein (77')
Al-Naimat (45+1'), Al-Arab (90+5'), Al-Rashdan (90+7')
Naseeb (14'), Al-Naimat (80'), Al-Rashdan (90+8')
Al Dardoor (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2023 3.30pm
Friendlies 3
Iraq
2-2
Jordan
(Aggregate 2-2 | Iraq win 0-0 on penalties)
Nov 12, 2020 3pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
0-0
Iraq
Mar 24, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
P-P
Iraq
Mar 26, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Iraq
3-2
Jordan
Hussein (36'), Rasa (52'), Ali (70')
Sulaka (5' og.), Faisal (87')
rhs 2.0
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