Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.