Rep. Ireland2 - 1Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Republic of Ireland 2-1 Bulgaria (Republic of Ireland win 4-2 on aggregate)
Having recorded a rare away win, Ireland should be sufficiently confident to see off a limited Bulgaria side for the second time in three days. The Boys in Green now have several options up front, all of whom will be keen to prove themselves before World Cup qualifying gets under way, and they can score twice to secure their League B status. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Republic of Ireland.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Bulgaria |
40.7% ( -2.13) | 28.65% ( 0.31) | 30.65% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
