Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Kraj Bistrice
Montenegro1 - 2Wales
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
We said: Montenegro 1-1 Wales
Wales will believe that they are good enough to triumph on Monday, but it will be a tricky assignment. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win in this contest, but we just have a feeling that a cagey contest will end with the points being shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Wales |
33.16% ( 1.06) | 29.1% ( -0.2) | 37.74% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
